Sunday, January 20, 2008 

League One Betting Review - 26 February 2006

Huddersfield Town edged into the second automatic promotion spot after earning a draw against fellow promotion chasers Swansea City. Lee Trundle and Leon Britton fired the Swans into a 2-0 lead by half-time before late goals from Martin McIntosh and david Graham secured a draw at odds of 9/4.

Southend united missed the chance to stretch their lead at the top of League One as Walsall, under new boss Kevan Broadhurst, held them to a goalless draw. Shrimpers captain Spencer prior went off injured after five minutes as the two sides played out an 11/4 stalemate.

Following last weekends FA cup glamour tie against chelsea, Colchester united were brought back down to earth with a bump against Barnsley. Tykes midfielder Brian Howard scored the only goal of the game after 72 minutes to seal a 13/10 home win.

Brentford suffered a rare home defeat at the hands of 4/1 outsiders Port Vale. A long range effort from Jeff smith nine minutes before the break was enough to keep the Valiants slender play-off hopes alive.

play-off hopefuls Oldham Athletic secured a narrow 20/21 win against Tranmere Rovers at Boundary Park. Richie Wellens struck the decisive goal 10 minutes before half time.

Nottingham forest were the safest bet of the day by crushing Swindon Town 7-1 at the City Ground. Nicky Southall broke the deadlock for 8/11 forest after three minutes before Wes Morgan and Iain Breckin added further goals before the break. Southall completed his hat-trick with goals after 51 and 55 minutes before Morgan and Lester completed the rout. Trevor Benjamin gave the Robins some pride on 76.

Rotherham Uniteds survival hopes took a turn for the worse as they crashed 4-0 at home against Chesterfield. Three goals in a nine minute spell for Glynn Hurst just before half time and david Niven and Mark Allott early in the second period ended the Millers mini revival. Jamie OHara added a fourth for the 9/5 Spireites three minutes from time.

Rock-bottom Milton Keynes dons sealed a precious victory at 13/8 against visitors Bradford City. Ben Harding opened the scoring for the dons after 58 minutes but steve Claridge ended a 17-match barren run six minutes later. A last gasp winner from Dean Lewington took the dons to within four points from safety.

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FA Cup Third Round - Back Top 10 Championship Sides

There is value to be had backing the top 10 championship teams who are drawn against teams lower than them in the league structure and you will obtain better odds than backing premiership sides in similar circumstances.

During the 2003/04 season, Millwall were drawn at home three times and didnt meet another top 30 side until they faced Sunderland in the semi final. En-route to this match, they won three out of four games, beating Walsall @ 1.91 (h), Telford @ 1.60 (a) and Burnley @ 1.79 (h) before drawing at home to Tranmere in the quarter final, despite being odds on at 1.50. However, they made amends in the replay, winning at Prenton Park at odds of 2.32.

Backing Millwall to win each match before they faced Sunderland would have netted a profit of 26.20 for 10 level stakes, a 52% return on turnover.

Third Round
Millwall @ 1.91 vs Walsall. result: 2-1
forest vs WBA @ 2.30. result: 1-0
Preston vs Reading @ 3.48. result: 3-3
Sunderland @ 1.42 vs Hartlepool. result: 1-0
Cardiff vs Sheff Utd @ 2.61. result: 0-1
Ipswich @ 1.56 vs Derby. result: 3-0

Third Round Replay
Reading @ 2.21 vs Preston. result: 1-2

Fourth Round
forest vs Sheff Utd @ 2.40. result: 0-3
Telford vs Millwall @ 1.61. result: 0-2

Fifth Round
Millwall @ 1.79 vs Burnley. result: 1-0

Quarter final
Millwall @ 1.56 vs Tranmere. result: 0-0

Quarter final Replay
Tranmere vs Millwall @ 2.32. result: 1-2

Using this strategy to back all top 10 championship sides against lower opposition produced a profit of 36.20 on level stakes of 10 across 12 matches.

There are five third round matches that qualify for this strategy, three of which sees top 10 sides face championship opposition.

Sheff Utd @ 1.44 vs Colchester
Stoke @ 1.30 vs Tamworth
Wolves @ 1.72 vs Plymouth
Derby vs Burnley @ 3.00
Preston @ 1.57 vs Crewe

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